England · Championship

Birmingham vs QPR

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Birmingham 22.8% Draw 18.9% QPR 58.3%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Birmingham: 9 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Birmingham

W W D D L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

QPR

W D D D D L

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Birmingham win22.8%

Draw18.9%

QPR win58.3%

Over 1.5 goals94.8%

Over 2.5 goals83.1%

Over 3.5 goals66.5%

Both teams to score78.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.9%

Goal in Both Halves79.9%

Draw or Away (X2)76.4%

Draw No Bet - Away71.6%

Away Win58.9%

Home or Draw (1X)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Home28.4%

Home Win23.4%

Draw17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals82.9%

Under 5.5 Goals69.7%

Over 3.5 Goals66.3%

4+ Goals66.3%

Under 4.5 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.4%

2-4 Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals35.5%

Under 3.5 Goals33.7%

1-3 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals30.3%

2-3 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals17.1%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.8%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.6%

Home Team to Score82.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.4%

Away Clean Sheet17.1%

Away Win to Nil16.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.2%

Home Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 0.582.7%

Away Over 1.576.3%

Home Over 1.552.6%

Away Over 2.552.3%

Away 3+ Goals52.3%

Home Exactly 130.1%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.526.0%

Home 3+ Goals26.0%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Away Exactly 117.2%

Home Exactly 017.1%

Away Exactly 06.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.1%

Away to win by 3+23.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 112.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.7%

Home to win by 26.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.3%

Away & Over 2.551.9%

Away & BTTS42.9%

Home & Over 2.519.8%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Away & No BTTS16.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & No BTTS5.1%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.1%

HT Over 1.560.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Away Win47.0%

HT/FT Away/Away39.6%

HT Under 1.539.4%

HT Both Teams Score39.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Home Win23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.7%

HT/FT Home/Home13.8%

HT Under 0.512.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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