England · Championship

Birmingham vs Wolves

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Birmingham 19.3% Draw 13.8% Wolves 66.9%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-4 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Wolves: 9 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Birmingham

D W L D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Wolves

L W W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Birmingham win19.3%

Draw13.8%

Wolves win66.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.5%

Over 3.5 goals88.3%

Both teams to score89.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.9%

Goal in Both Halves

91.9%

Away Over 1.5

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.9%

Goal in Both Halves91.9%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Draw or Away (X2)78.5%

Draw No Bet - Away77.4%

Away Win65.4%

Home or Draw (1X)32.1%

Draw No Bet - Home22.6%

Home Win19.1%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals93.1%

Over 3.5 Goals86.1%

4+ Goals86.1%

Over 4.5 Goals74.8%

Over 5.5 Goals60.2%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Under 5.5 Goals39.8%

Under 4.5 Goals25.2%

2-4 Goals21.6%

3-4 Goals18.3%

Under 3.5 Goals13.9%

1-3 Goals11.3%

2-3 Goals10.3%

Exactly 3 Goals7.0%

Under 2.5 Goals6.9%

1-2 Goals4.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 2 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score88.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil8.8%

Home Clean Sheet1.7%

Home Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.588.9%

Home Over 0.588.6%

Away Over 2.574.8%

Away 3+ Goals74.8%

Home Over 1.567.3%

Home Over 2.541.7%

Home 3+ Goals41.7%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Away Exactly 214.1%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Away Exactly 16.9%

Away Exactly 01.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.1%

Away to win by 3+34.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.2%

Home to win by 19.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.6%

Away & Over 2.563.5%

Away & BTTS56.7%

Home & Over 2.518.2%

Home & BTTS17.5%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

Away & No BTTS8.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

Home & No BTTS1.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Home & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.5%

HT Over 1.578.7%

HT Both Teams Score55.4%

HT Away Win55.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.0%

HT/FT Away/Away48.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw22.8%

HT Home Win22.1%

HT Under 1.521.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Home/Home11.5%

HT/FT Home/Away6.4%

HT Under 0.55.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions