England · Championship

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Blackburn 54.9% Draw 22.9% Middlesbrough 22.2%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Middlesbrough: 4 points versus 8 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Blackburn

D W L

Form 1-1-1 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Middlesbrough

W W L L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Blackburn win54.9%

Draw22.9%

Middlesbrough win22.2%

Over 1.5 goals87.3%

Over 2.5 goals67.5%

Over 3.5 goals45.9%

Both teams to score66.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.2%

Home Team to Score

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.3%

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Draw No Bet - Home70.6%

Both Halves Over 0.567.4%

Goal in Both Halves67.4%

Home Win56.0%

Draw or Away (X2)44.0%

Draw No Bet - Away29.4%

Away Win23.3%

Draw20.6%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.2%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 2.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.1%

1-3 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.9%

4+ Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals32.5%

1-2 Goals29.4%

Over 4.5 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.3%

Away Team to Score73.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.0%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Home Win to Nil23.3%

Away Clean Sheet11.7%

Away Win to Nil8.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.3%

Away Over 0.573.6%

Home Over 1.563.2%

Away Over 1.538.5%

Home Over 2.536.3%

Home 3+ Goals36.3%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Home Exactly 125.1%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Away Over 2.515.0%

Away 3+ Goals15.0%

Home Exactly 011.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.3%

Home to win by 3+17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 26.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.2%

Home & Over 2.542.3%

Home & BTTS32.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.6%

Home & No BTTS23.3%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & BTTS14.7%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS8.6%

Away & Under 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Under 1.553.6%

HT Over 1.546.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Home Win43.1%

HT/FT Home/Home36.1%

HT Draw34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.9%

HT Away Win22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT/FT Away/Away13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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