England · Championship

Blackburn vs Millwall

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Blackburn 32.1% Draw 26.5% Millwall 41.4%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Millwall: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Blackburn

L L D L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Millwall

L W L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Blackburn win32.1%

Draw26.5%

Millwall win41.4%

Over 1.5 goals82.8%

Over 2.5 goals59.8%

Over 3.5 goals37.4%

Both teams to score63.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Draw or Away (X2)66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.561.4%

Goal in Both Halves61.4%

Home or Draw (1X)57.3%

Draw No Bet - Away56.0%

Draw No Bet - Home44.0%

Away Win42.7%

Home Win33.5%

Draw23.7%

Exactly 1 Goal14.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Under 5.5 Goals90.6%

Over 1.5 Goals81.4%

Under 4.5 Goals79.9%

Under 3.5 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.7%

1-3 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.1%

Under 2.5 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.4%

4+ Goals37.4%

1-2 Goals35.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals20.1%

Under 1.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.8%

Home Team to Score76.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.3%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Home Clean Sheet19.1%

Away Win to Nil19.1%

Home Win to Nil14.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.8%

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Over 1.549.2%

Home Over 1.542.2%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Away Over 2.523.0%

Away 3+ Goals23.0%

Away Exactly 019.1%

Home Over 2.517.6%

Home 3+ Goals17.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.1%

Away to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.7%

Home to win by 3+5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.5%

Away & Over 2.529.0%

Away & BTTS23.6%

Home & Over 2.522.3%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS19.1%

Home & BTTS18.9%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Home & No BTTS14.6%

Away & Under 2.513.7%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.1%

HT Under 1.559.4%

2nd Half More Goals44.9%

HT Over 1.540.6%

HT Draw38.4%

HT Away Win33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win27.9%

HT/FT Away/Away25.9%

HT Both Teams Score25.0%

HT Under 0.524.9%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT/FT Home/Home19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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