England · League Cup

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Blackburn 72.2% Draw 14.6% Sheffield Utd 13.2%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 7 points versus 8 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Blackburn

W D W L

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.25

Sheffield Utd

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Blackburn win72.2%

Draw14.6%

Sheffield Utd win13.2%

Over 1.5 goals95.9%

Over 2.5 goals86.1%

Over 3.5 goals71.1%

Both teams to score75.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.7%

HT Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.7%

Home or Away (12)85.7%

Draw No Bet - Home84.2%

Both Halves Over 0.582.5%

Goal in Both Halves82.5%

Home Win72.2%

Draw or Away (X2)27.1%

Draw No Bet - Away15.8%

Away Win13.6%

Draw13.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.4%

Over 3.5 Goals70.5%

4+ Goals70.5%

Under 5.5 Goals65.0%

Over 4.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals47.5%

2-4 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals29.5%

1-3 Goals27.9%

2-3 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score77.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.6%

Home Clean Sheet22.1%

Home Win to Nil21.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.5%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 1.583.9%

Away Over 0.577.1%

Home Over 2.564.2%

Home 3+ Goals64.2%

Away Over 1.543.9%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 022.1%

Home Exactly 219.7%

Away Over 2.519.0%

Away 3+ Goals19.0%

Home Exactly 111.8%

Home Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.1%

Home to win by 3+36.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 18.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.4%

Home & Over 2.565.2%

Home & BTTS50.8%

Home & No BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Away & Over 2.511.5%

Away & BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.1%

HT Home Win57.3%

HT/FT Home/Home51.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Both Teams Score38.2%

HT Under 1.535.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT Away Win16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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