England · Championship

Blackburn vs Stoke City

Kick-off 20:45 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Blackburn 28.8% Draw 24.6% Stoke City 46.6%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Stoke City: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Blackburn

L W L W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Stoke City

W D W L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Blackburn win28.8%

Draw24.6%

Stoke City win46.6%

Over 1.5 goals86.6%

Over 2.5 goals66.1%

Over 3.5 goals44.3%

Both teams to score67.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Draw or Away (X2)70.0%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Draw No Bet - Away61.5%

Home or Draw (1X)52.1%

Away Win47.9%

Draw No Bet - Home38.5%

Home Win30.0%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals87.0%

Over 1.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals74.3%

Over 2.5 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.7%

1-3 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.3%

4+ Goals44.3%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals33.9%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.6%

Over 5.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.3%

Home Team to Score77.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.0%

Away Clean Sheet22.6%

Away Win to Nil19.3%

Home Clean Sheet14.7%

Home Win to Nil11.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.3%

Home Over 0.577.4%

Away Over 1.557.2%

Home Over 1.543.7%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Over 2.530.1%

Away 3+ Goals30.1%

Away Exactly 128.1%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 022.6%

Home Over 2.518.8%

Home 3+ Goals18.8%

Away Exactly 014.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 214.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.5%

Away to win by 3+12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.7%

Home to win by 28.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.1%

Home to win by 3+5.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.5%

Away & Over 2.535.4%

Away & BTTS28.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.4%

Home & Over 2.521.4%

Away & No BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Away & Under 2.512.5%

Home & No BTTS11.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Under 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.3%

HT Away Win37.7%

HT Draw36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT/FT Away/Away29.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.2%

HT Home Win26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Home/Home17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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