England · Championship

Blackburn vs Wrexham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Blackburn 59.8% Draw 18.2% Wrexham 22.0%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Blackburn: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Blackburn

L W W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Wrexham

W L D W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Blackburn win59.8%

Draw18.2%

Wrexham win22.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.4%

Over 2.5 goals84.7%

Over 3.5 goals68.9%

Both teams to score79.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.9%

HT Over 0.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Both Halves Over 0.581.3%

Goal in Both Halves81.3%

Home or Draw (1X)77.1%

Draw No Bet - Home72.8%

Home Win60.2%

Draw or Away (X2)39.5%

Draw No Bet - Away27.2%

Away Win22.5%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.4%

Over 3.5 Goals68.7%

4+ Goals68.7%

Under 5.5 Goals67.2%

Over 4.5 Goals50.2%

Under 4.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals34.2%

Over 5.5 Goals32.8%

Under 3.5 Goals31.3%

1-3 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals15.7%

Under 2.5 Goals15.6%

1-2 Goals14.3%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.2%

Away Team to Score83.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.4%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil15.6%

Away Clean Sheet5.5%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.2%

Away Over 0.583.2%

Home Over 1.578.2%

Home Over 2.555.0%

Home 3+ Goals55.0%

Away Over 1.553.5%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.526.8%

Away 3+ Goals26.8%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 223.1%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 116.0%

Home Exactly 05.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.6%

Home to win by 3+24.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.8%

Home & Over 2.553.8%

Home & BTTS44.7%

Away & Over 2.519.4%

Away & BTTS17.9%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Home & No BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.56.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Over 1.562.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Home Win48.2%

HT/FT Home/Home40.8%

HT Both Teams Score40.4%

HT Under 1.537.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.6%

HT Away Win23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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