UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 14

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Bodo/Glimt 17.9% Draw 13.7% Borussia Dortmund 68.4%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Borussia Dortmund: 10 points versus 16 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.73 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Bodo/Glimt

L W W W D

Form 3-1-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2.4 Conceded/game 2.2

Borussia Dortmund

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bodo/Glimt win17.9%

Draw13.7%

Borussia Dortmund win68.4%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.7%

Over 3.5 goals86.6%

Both teams to score87.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.9%

Goal in Both Halves

90.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.9%

Goal in Both Halves90.9%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Draw or Away (X2)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Away79.2%

Away Win67.2%

Home or Draw (1X)30.6%

Draw No Bet - Home20.8%

Home Win17.7%

Draw12.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals92.6%

Over 3.5 Goals84.7%

4+ Goals84.7%

Over 4.5 Goals72.4%

Over 5.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Under 5.5 Goals43.0%

Under 4.5 Goals27.6%

2-4 Goals24.0%

3-4 Goals20.2%

Under 3.5 Goals15.3%

1-3 Goals12.9%

2-3 Goals11.7%

Exactly 3 Goals7.9%

Under 2.5 Goals7.4%

1-2 Goals5.0%

Exactly 2 Goals3.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score87.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.3%

Away Clean Sheet10.5%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.8%

Home Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 1.588.7%

Home Over 0.587.3%

Away Over 2.574.1%

Away 3+ Goals74.1%

Home Over 1.564.0%

Home Over 2.537.8%

Home 3+ Goals37.8%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 123.4%

Away Exactly 214.6%

Home Exactly 010.5%

Away Exactly 17.3%

Away Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home62.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home46.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.3%

Away to win by 3+35.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.0%

Home to win by 25.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.0%

Away & Over 2.564.8%

Away & BTTS56.9%

Home & Over 2.516.8%

Home & BTTS16.1%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & No BTTS1.6%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.0%

HT Over 1.577.0%

HT Away Win56.0%

HT Both Teams Score53.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT/FT Away/Away49.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.0%

HT Under 1.523.0%

HT Home Win20.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.7%

HT/FT Home/Home10.5%

HT/FT Home/Away6.2%

HT Under 0.56.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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