UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

Kick-off 21:00 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

Bodo/Glimt 81.3% Draw 10.8% Lille 7.9%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Bodo/Glimt: 12 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bodo/Glimt

L W L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2

Lille

W D L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bodo/Glimt win81.3%

Draw10.8%

Lille win7.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals89.0%

Over 3.5 goals76.0%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

90.9%

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home90.9%

Home or Draw (1X)90.1%

Home or Away (12)88.3%

Both Halves Over 0.585.3%

Goal in Both Halves85.3%

Home Win80.2%

Draw or Away (X2)18.0%

Draw9.9%

Draw No Bet - Away9.1%

Away Win8.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.4%

Over 3.5 Goals74.6%

4+ Goals74.6%

Under 5.5 Goals59.6%

Over 4.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 4.5 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals40.4%

2-4 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals29.6%

Under 3.5 Goals25.4%

1-3 Goals23.1%

2-3 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals12.6%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score72.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.3%

Home Clean Sheet26.0%

Home Win to Nil25.4%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.2%

Home Over 2.572.7%

Home 3+ Goals72.7%

Away Over 0.572.2%

Away Over 1.537.6%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Away Exactly 026.0%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 215.5%

Away Over 2.514.7%

Away 3+ Goals14.7%

Home Exactly 18.0%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away50.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.6%

Home to win by 3+47.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away32.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home30.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 15.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.0%

BTTS & Over 2.567.9%

Home & BTTS54.8%

Home & No BTTS25.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS9.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Away & Over 2.56.9%

Away & BTTS6.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Home & Under 2.56.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.568.0%

HT Home Win65.3%

HT/FT Home/Home61.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score37.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.0%

HT Draw22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Away Win12.2%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Away4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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