UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Bodo/Glimt 55.8% Draw 15.4% NEC Nijmegen 28.8%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Bodo/Glimt win at 55.8%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to NEC Nijmegen: 7 points versus 10 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Bodo/Glimt win

55.8%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15.4%

1X2 model probability

NEC Nijmegen win

28.8%

1X2 model probability

Bodo/Glimt

W W D

Form 2-1-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2

NEC Nijmegen

L W W L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Bodo/Glimt 1wins ·0 draws ·NEC Nijmegen 0wins

Bodo/Glimt 3-1 NEC NijmegenAug 19, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bodo/Glimt win55.8%

Draw15.4%

NEC Nijmegen win28.8%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.4%

Over 3.5 goals90.4%

Both teams to score92.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.0%

Goal in Both Halves93.0%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Home or Draw (1X)69.5%

Draw No Bet - Home65.9%

Home Win54.8%

Draw or Away (X2)43.1%

Draw No Bet - Away34.1%

Away Win28.4%

Draw14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals94.4%

Over 3.5 Goals88.6%

4+ Goals88.6%

Over 4.5 Goals78.6%

Over 5.5 Goals65.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals35.0%

Under 4.5 Goals21.4%

2-4 Goals18.5%

3-4 Goals15.9%

Under 3.5 Goals11.4%

1-3 Goals9.3%

2-3 Goals8.5%

Exactly 3 Goals5.9%

Under 2.5 Goals5.6%

1-2 Goals3.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score92.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.3%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil5.2%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.587.8%

Away Over 1.577.2%

Home Over 2.572.1%

Home 3+ Goals72.1%

Away Over 2.554.6%

Away 3+ Goals54.6%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 215.6%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Home Exactly 18.1%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.1%

Home to win by 3+25.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.6%

Away to win by 3+8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.4%

Home & Over 2.553.5%

Home & BTTS49.6%

Away & Over 2.527.6%

Away & BTTS26.4%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

Home & No BTTS5.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & No BTTS2.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.3%

HT Over 1.580.9%

HT Both Teams Score60.3%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Home Win47.5%

HT/FT Home/Home38.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win29.1%

HT Draw23.5%

HT Under 1.519.1%

HT/FT Away/Away17.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT Under 0.54.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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