England · Championship

Bolton vs Bristol City

Full time · 2:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Bolton 19.5% Draw 19.1% Bristol City 61.4%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 74%

✓ Pick was correct (2:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bolton: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Bolton

L D L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Bristol City

D L L D W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bolton win19.5%

Draw19.1%

Bristol City win61.4%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals79.1%

Over 3.5 goals60.6%

Both teams to score73.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Draw or Away (X2)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.576.6%

Goal in Both Halves76.6%

Draw No Bet - Away75.4%

Away Win62.1%

Home or Draw (1X)37.7%

Draw No Bet - Home24.6%

Home Win20.2%

Draw17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals78.9%

Under 5.5 Goals75.3%

Over 3.5 Goals60.5%

4+ Goals60.5%

Under 4.5 Goals59.0%

2-4 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals41.0%

Under 3.5 Goals39.5%

1-3 Goals37.9%

3-4 Goals37.9%

2-3 Goals31.6%

Over 5.5 Goals24.7%

Under 2.5 Goals21.1%

1-2 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.5%

Exactly 2 Goals13.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.0%

Home Team to Score78.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.3%

Away Clean Sheet21.8%

Away Win to Nil20.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.8%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 0.578.0%

Away Over 1.574.7%

Away Over 2.550.2%

Away 3+ Goals50.2%

Home Over 1.544.9%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 021.8%

Home Over 2.519.7%

Home 3+ Goals19.7%

Away Exactly 118.3%

Away Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.4%

Away to win by 3+24.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 217.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.4%

Home to win by 111.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 25.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.2%

Home to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.7%

Away & Over 2.552.8%

Away & BTTS41.9%

Away & No BTTS20.3%

Home & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Home & BTTS14.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

Away & Under 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.0%

HT Over 1.556.5%

HT Away Win48.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.5%

HT/FT Away/Away41.9%

HT Both Teams Score34.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Home Win21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.515.0%

HT/FT Home/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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