England · Championship

Bolton vs Lincoln

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Bolton 28.1% Draw 29.1% Lincoln 42.8%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lincoln: 4 points versus 6 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bolton

D W L

Form 1-1-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Lincoln

W L L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bolton win28.1%

Draw29.1%

Lincoln win42.8%

Over 1.5 goals75.2%

Over 2.5 goals48.6%

Over 3.5 goals26.8%

Both teams to score54.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.1%

Draw or Away (X2)70.3%

Draw No Bet - Away60.0%

Home or Draw (1X)55.6%

Both Halves Over 0.552.8%

Goal in Both Halves52.8%

Away Win44.4%

Draw No Bet - Home40.0%

Home Win29.7%

Draw25.9%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.8%

4+ Goals26.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score76.9%

Home Team to Score68.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.4%

Away Clean Sheet31.7%

Away Win to Nil24.4%

Home Clean Sheet23.1%

Home Win to Nil15.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.576.9%

Home Over 0.568.3%

Away Over 1.543.1%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Home Over 1.531.9%

Home Exactly 031.7%

Away Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 023.1%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Over 2.518.3%

Away 3+ Goals18.3%

Home Over 2.511.0%

Home 3+ Goals11.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.7%

Away to win by 122.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 213.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.4%

Away to win by 3+8.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 28.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.7%

Home to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.1%

Away & Over 2.525.9%

Away & No BTTS24.4%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & Under 2.519.6%

Away & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Home & Over 2.516.4%

Home & No BTTS15.8%

Home & BTTS13.9%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw42.3%

HT Away Win33.4%

HT Over 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

HT/FT Away/Away26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT Home Win24.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.5%

HT/FT Home/Home16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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