England · Championship

Bolton vs West Ham

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Bolton 8.6% Draw 12.5% West Ham 78.9%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Ham: 4 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bolton

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

West Ham

W W D W L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bolton win8.6%

Draw12.5%

West Ham win78.9%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.3%

Both teams to score68.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

90.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.0%

Draw No Bet - Away89.7%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.581.1%

Goal in Both Halves81.1%

Away Win78.6%

Home or Draw (1X)20.4%

Draw11.4%

Draw No Bet - Home10.3%

Home Win9.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals83.5%

Under 5.5 Goals68.3%

Over 3.5 Goals67.6%

4+ Goals67.6%

Under 4.5 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals49.1%

2-4 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Under 3.5 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals30.5%

2-3 Goals26.1%

Under 2.5 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score69.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.8%

Away Clean Sheet29.7%

Away Win to Nil28.8%

Home Clean Sheet3.1%

Home Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.585.1%

Home Over 0.569.3%

Away Over 2.566.4%

Away 3+ Goals66.4%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Home Over 1.533.6%

Home Exactly 029.7%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Away Exactly 110.8%

Away Exactly 03.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home56.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away43.0%

Away to win by 3+43.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away26.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 218.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 15.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.3%

Home to win by 22.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.8%

BTTS & Over 2.563.3%

Away & BTTS49.8%

Away & No BTTS28.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

Away & Under 2.58.9%

Home & Over 2.57.2%

Home & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Home & No BTTS2.2%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.8%

HT Away Win62.4%

HT Over 1.562.1%

HT/FT Away/Away58.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.537.9%

HT Both Teams Score33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.7%

HT Home Win12.7%

HT Under 0.512.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Home5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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