UEFA Europa Conference League

Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Borac Banja Luka 89.0% Draw 7.6% Vikingur Reykjavik 3.4%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Borac Banja Luka: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Borac Banja Luka

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Vikingur Reykjavik

L W L L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Borac Banja Luka 1wins ·0 draws ·Vikingur Reykjavik 0wins

Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Vikingur ReykjavikAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Borac Banja Luka win89.0%

Draw7.6%

Vikingur Reykjavik win3.4%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.3%

Over 3.5 goals71.3%

Both teams to score57.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.0%

HT Over 0.5

88.9%

Home Over 1.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.9%

Home or Draw (1X)94.1%

Home or Away (12)91.0%

Home Win87.3%

Both Halves Over 0.582.9%

Goal in Both Halves82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)10.5%

Draw6.8%

Draw No Bet - Away4.1%

Away Win3.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.4%

Over 3.5 Goals69.8%

4+ Goals69.8%

Under 5.5 Goals65.7%

Over 4.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 4.5 Goals48.1%

2-4 Goals41.5%

Over 5.5 Goals34.3%

3-4 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals27.3%

2-3 Goals23.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.6%

Exactly 2 Goals9.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score56.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.3%

Home Clean Sheet41.0%

Home Win to Nil40.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Home Over 2.574.4%

Home 3+ Goals74.4%

Away Over 0.556.7%

Away Exactly 041.0%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Over 1.521.1%

Away Exactly 215.5%

Home Exactly 214.5%

Home Exactly 17.2%

Away Over 2.55.6%

Away 3+ Goals5.6%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away74.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away58.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.8%

Home to win by 3+57.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away40.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home39.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away22.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.2%

BTTS & Over 2.553.1%

Home & BTTS47.0%

Home & No BTTS40.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

Home & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Over 2.52.8%

Away & BTTS2.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Home Win72.4%

HT/FT Home/Home70.2%

HT Over 1.564.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.0%

HT Draw20.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT Away Win7.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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