Germany · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Borussia Dortmund 73.1% Draw 15.9% Eintracht Frankfurt 10.8%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 79%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Borussia Dortmund: 11 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Borussia Dortmund

W D L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Eintracht Frankfurt

W L D W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 5

Borussia Dortmund 3wins ·1 draws ·Eintracht Frankfurt 1wins

Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht FrankfurtMay 8, 2026

Borussia Dortmund 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtJan 9, 2026

Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Eintracht FrankfurtJan 17, 2025

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht FrankfurtAug 24, 2024

Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht FrankfurtMar 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Borussia Dortmund win73.1%

Draw15.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt win10.8%

Over 1.5 goals87.9%

Over 2.5 goals94.0%

Over 3.5 goals48.9%

Both teams to score78.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.2%

Home Over 1.5

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.6%

Goal in Both Halves86.6%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home or Draw (1X)85.7%

Draw No Bet - Home85.2%

Home Win73.6%

Draw or Away (X2)25.0%

Draw No Bet - Away14.8%

Away Win12.8%

Draw12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals89.2%

Over 3.5 Goals77.4%

4+ Goals77.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.5%

Under 5.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Over 5.5 Goals44.2%

Under 4.5 Goals38.5%

2-4 Goals34.2%

3-4 Goals27.7%

Under 3.5 Goals22.6%

1-3 Goals20.7%

2-3 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals11.8%

Under 2.5 Goals10.8%

1-2 Goals8.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score80.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.8%

Home Clean Sheet18.4%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.3%

Away Over 0.580.1%

Home Over 2.570.7%

Home 3+ Goals70.7%

Away Over 1.549.2%

Away Exactly 130.9%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.523.3%

Away 3+ Goals23.3%

Away Exactly 018.4%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Home Exactly 18.9%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away58.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.8%

Home to win by 3+39.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 23.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.4%

Home & Over 2.568.8%

Home & BTTS55.6%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.8%

Draw & BTTS11.7%

Away & Over 2.511.4%

Away & BTTS10.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.0%

HT Home Win59.6%

HT/FT Home/Home54.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score43.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.0%

HT Draw23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT Away Win16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.2%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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