Germany · Bundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach 41.7% Draw 23.1% 1899 Hoffenheim 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Borussia Mönchengladbach win at 41.7%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 wins, 1 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Borussia Mönchengladbach win

41.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

23.1%

1X2 model probability

1899 Hoffenheim win

35.1%

1X2 model probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 11:18 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 3

1899 Hoffenheim

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:17 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.83

Head to head · last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach 2wins ·1 draws ·1899 Hoffenheim 2wins

Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 HoffenheimMay 16, 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-5 1899 HoffenheimJan 14, 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-4 1899 HoffenheimMay 3, 2025

Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 1899 HoffenheimDec 21, 2024

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 1899 HoffenheimApr 20, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Borussia Mönchengladbach win41.7%

Draw23.1%

1899 Hoffenheim win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals87.7%

Over 2.5 goals97.6%

Over 3.5 goals47.9%

Both teams to score93.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.3%

Goal in Both Halves92.3%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)70.9%

Draw No Bet - Home67.4%

Home Win56.2%

Draw or Away (X2)42.0%

Draw No Bet - Away32.6%

Away Win27.2%

Draw14.8%

Exactly 1 Goal0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals97.1%

Over 2.5 Goals94.1%

Over 3.5 Goals87.5%

4+ Goals87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals76.7%

Over 5.5 Goals62.5%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals37.5%

Under 4.5 Goals23.3%

2-4 Goals20.4%

3-4 Goals17.4%

Under 3.5 Goals12.5%

1-3 Goals10.5%

2-3 Goals9.6%

Exactly 3 Goals6.6%

Under 2.5 Goals5.9%

1-2 Goals3.9%

Exactly 2 Goals3.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score92.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 0.592.1%

Home Over 1.587.5%

Away Over 1.575.1%

Home Over 2.571.3%

Home 3+ Goals71.3%

Away Over 2.551.6%

Away 3+ Goals51.6%

Away Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 116.9%

Home Exactly 216.1%

Home Exactly 18.5%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.9%

Home to win by 3+25.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 214.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.9%

Away to win by 3+7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 27.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.5%

Home & Over 2.554.7%

Home & BTTS50.2%

Away & Over 2.526.3%

Away & BTTS25.1%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS5.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.8%

HT Over 1.579.5%

HT Both Teams Score58.5%

2nd Half More Goals52.2%

HT Home Win48.1%

HT/FT Home/Home39.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win28.1%

HT Draw23.8%

HT Under 1.520.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.2%

HT Under 0.55.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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