Brazil · Serie A

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG

● LIVE 81' · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Botafogo 25.9% Draw 22.2% Atletico-MG 51.9%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atletico-MG: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Botafogo

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Atletico-MG

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Botafogo 0wins ·1 draws ·Atletico-MG 0wins

Botafogo 1-1 Atletico-MGMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Botafogo win25.9%

Draw22.2%

Atletico-MG win51.9%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals73.5%

Over 3.5 goals53.2%

Both teams to score72.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.4%

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Away Over 0.5

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Draw or Away (X2)73.1%

Both Halves Over 0.572.1%

Goal in Both Halves72.1%

Draw No Bet - Away66.4%

Away Win52.9%

Home or Draw (1X)47.0%

Draw No Bet - Home33.6%

Home Win26.8%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal8.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals81.2%

Over 2.5 Goals73.5%

Under 4.5 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals55.8%

Over 3.5 Goals53.1%

4+ Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.9%

1-3 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.3%

Over 4.5 Goals33.7%

Under 2.5 Goals26.5%

1-2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 5.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.4%

Home Team to Score79.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.1%

Away Clean Sheet20.7%

Away Win to Nil18.5%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil8.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 0.579.3%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Home Over 1.546.7%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Home Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Over 2.521.0%

Home 3+ Goals21.0%

Home Exactly 020.7%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.6%

Away to win by 120.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.7%

Away to win by 3+16.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 27.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.7%

Home to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.2%

Away & Over 2.542.5%

Away & BTTS34.5%

Home & Over 2.520.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.7%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Away & No BTTS18.5%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Away & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Home & No BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Home & Under 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.1%

HT Over 1.551.3%

HT Under 1.548.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Away Win41.8%

HT/FT Away/Away34.1%

HT Draw33.2%

HT Both Teams Score32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.517.9%

HT/FT Home/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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