England · League Cup

Bournemouth vs Lincoln

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Bournemouth 42.8% Draw 23.0% Lincoln 34.2%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lincoln: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bournemouth

D D L D D W

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Lincoln

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bournemouth win42.8%

Draw23.0%

Lincoln win34.2%

Over 1.5 goals90.9%

Over 2.5 goals74.3%

Over 3.5 goals54.2%

Both teams to score74.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Both Halves Over 0.572.8%

Goal in Both Halves72.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.7%

Draw or Away (X2)56.2%

Draw No Bet - Home55.4%

Draw No Bet - Away44.6%

Home Win43.8%

Away Win35.2%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.4%

Over 2.5 Goals74.3%

Under 4.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals55.2%

Over 3.5 Goals54.2%

4+ Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals45.8%

1-3 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.7%

Over 4.5 Goals34.7%

Under 2.5 Goals25.7%

1-2 Goals23.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.1%

Away Team to Score83.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.9%

Home Clean Sheet16.1%

Home Win to Nil14.0%

Away Clean Sheet12.9%

Away Win to Nil10.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.1%

Away Over 0.583.9%

Home Over 1.560.7%

Away Over 1.554.5%

Home Over 2.533.6%

Home 3+ Goals33.6%

Away Exactly 129.4%

Away Over 2.527.7%

Away 3+ Goals27.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 126.4%

Away Exactly 016.1%

Home Exactly 012.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.7%

Home to win by 3+11.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.8%

Away to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.3%

Home & Over 2.535.2%

Home & BTTS29.8%

Away & Over 2.528.0%

Away & BTTS24.4%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

Home & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

Away & No BTTS10.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Away & Under 2.57.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.5%

HT Over 1.552.1%

HT Under 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win36.0%

HT Both Teams Score33.8%

HT Draw33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win30.5%

HT/FT Home/Home27.4%

HT/FT Away/Away21.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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