England · Premier League

Brentford vs Liverpool

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Brentford 39.8% Draw 26.6% Liverpool 33.6%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Liverpool: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Brentford

D W D D D W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 15:7 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Liverpool

W L W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Brentford 1wins ·1 draws ·Liverpool 3wins

Brentford 1-1 LiverpoolMay 24, 2026

Brentford 3-2 LiverpoolOct 25, 2025

Brentford 0-2 LiverpoolJan 18, 2025

Brentford 0-2 LiverpoolAug 25, 2024

Brentford 1-4 LiverpoolFeb 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Brentford win39.8%

Draw26.6%

Liverpool win33.6%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals95.4%

Over 3.5 goals35.7%

Both teams to score86.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.3%

Away Team to Score

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.9%

Goal in Both Halves85.9%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)73.1%

Draw No Bet - Home68.2%

Home Win56.6%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Away31.8%

Away Win26.4%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals89.3%

Over 3.5 Goals76.9%

4+ Goals76.9%

Over 4.5 Goals60.5%

Under 5.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals43.1%

Under 4.5 Goals39.5%

2-4 Goals35.8%

3-4 Goals28.8%

Under 3.5 Goals23.1%

1-3 Goals22.1%

2-3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals12.4%

Under 2.5 Goals10.7%

1-2 Goals9.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.7%

Home Clean Sheet11.2%

Home Win to Nil10.7%

Away Clean Sheet4.4%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.581.2%

Away Over 1.563.8%

Home Over 2.559.7%

Home 3+ Goals59.7%

Away Over 2.537.1%

Away 3+ Goals37.1%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 124.4%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 113.8%

Away Exactly 011.2%

Home Exactly 04.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.4%

Home to win by 3+23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.3%

Away to win by 3+6.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.9%

Home & Over 2.552.6%

Home & BTTS45.9%

Away & Over 2.524.1%

Away & BTTS22.4%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Home & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.8%

HT Over 1.568.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score47.2%

HT Home Win46.6%

HT/FT Home/Home38.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.2%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Away Win26.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Away/Away16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT Under 0.59.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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