England · Premier League

Brentford vs Tottenham

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Brentford 53.7% Draw 24.3% Tottenham 21.9%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Tottenham: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Brentford 0 wins, 1 draws, Tottenham 4 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

Brentford

D D L W L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Tottenham

W L D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Brentford 0wins ·1 draws ·Tottenham 4wins

Brentford 0-0 TottenhamJan 1, 2026

Brentford 0-2 TottenhamDec 6, 2025

Brentford 0-2 TottenhamFeb 2, 2025

Brentford 1-3 TottenhamSep 21, 2024

Brentford 2-3 TottenhamJan 31, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Brentford win53.7%

Draw24.3%

Tottenham win21.9%

Over 1.5 goals82.4%

Over 2.5 goals60.9%

Over 3.5 goals37.2%

Both teams to score61.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

82.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

82.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Home or Draw (1X)63.8%

Both Halves Over 0.560.5%

Goal in Both Halves60.5%

Draw or Away (X2)60.3%

Draw No Bet - Home52.3%

Draw No Bet - Away47.7%

Home Win39.7%

Away Win36.2%

Draw24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.9%

Over 1.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.1%

Over 2.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.7%

Over 3.5 Goals36.1%

4+ Goals36.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.3%

Over 4.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.0%

Away Team to Score77.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.0%

Home Clean Sheet22.8%

Away Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Win to Nil16.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.0%

Away Over 0.577.2%

Home Over 1.546.2%

Away Over 1.543.5%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Home Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 022.8%

Home Exactly 021.0%

Home Over 2.520.6%

Home 3+ Goals20.6%

Away Over 2.518.6%

Away 3+ Goals18.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.1%

Away to win by 119.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.6%

Away to win by 210.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.8%

Home to win by 3+7.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.5%

Away to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.4%

Home & Over 2.526.4%

Away & Over 2.523.9%

Home & BTTS21.7%

Away & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

Away & No BTTS16.2%

Draw & Under 2.515.8%

Home & Under 2.513.3%

Away & Under 2.512.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.5%

HT Under 1.560.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.7%

HT Draw38.8%

HT Home Win31.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Away Win29.5%

HT Under 0.525.5%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT/FT Home/Home23.8%

HT/FT Away/Away21.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions