UEFA Europa Conference League

Brighton vs Tromso

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Brighton 59.2% Draw 20.7% Tromso 20.1%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.93 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Brighton

W D L L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Tromso

D W W L L

Form 2-1-2 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Brighton 0wins ·1 draws ·Tromso 0wins

Brighton 0-0 TromsoAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Brighton win59.2%

Draw20.7%

Tromso win20.1%

Over 1.5 goals90.6%

Over 2.5 goals73.8%

Over 3.5 goals53.5%

Both teams to score69.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.2%

Home Over 0.5

91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)78.8%

Draw No Bet - Home74.0%

Both Halves Over 0.572.4%

Goal in Both Halves72.4%

Home Win60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)39.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.0%

Away Win21.1%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.5%

Under 5.5 Goals81.0%

Over 2.5 Goals73.7%

Under 4.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals55.5%

Over 3.5 Goals53.5%

4+ Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.5%

1-3 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals36.1%

Over 4.5 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals26.3%

1-2 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 5.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.8%

Under 1.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.2%

Away Team to Score75.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.1%

Home Clean Sheet24.4%

Home Win to Nil22.3%

Away Clean Sheet8.7%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.2%

Away Over 0.575.5%

Home Over 1.569.9%

Home Over 2.543.9%

Home 3+ Goals43.9%

Away Over 1.541.1%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 024.4%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 121.3%

Away Over 2.516.8%

Away 3+ Goals16.8%

Home Exactly 08.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.5%

Home to win by 3+21.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 217.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 25.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.5%

Home & Over 2.548.5%

Home & BTTS37.8%

Home & No BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Away & Over 2.516.0%

Away & BTTS14.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

Home & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.3%

HT Over 1.551.6%

HT Under 1.548.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Home Win46.5%

HT/FT Home/Home39.8%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.3%

HT Away Win21.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT Under 0.517.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT/FT Away/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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