England · Championship

Bristol City vs Blackburn

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Oct 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Bristol City 33.5% Draw 26.9% Blackburn 39.6%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bristol City: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

Bristol City

D W L L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Blackburn

W D W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win33.5%

Draw26.9%

Blackburn win39.6%

Over 1.5 goals82.1%

Over 2.5 goals58.5%

Over 3.5 goals36.1%

Both teams to score62.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Draw or Away (X2)65.1%

Both Halves Over 0.560.5%

Goal in Both Halves60.5%

Home or Draw (1X)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Away54.1%

Draw No Bet - Home45.9%

Away Win41.0%

Home Win34.9%

Draw24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.9%

Over 1.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.1%

Over 2.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.7%

Over 3.5 Goals36.1%

4+ Goals36.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.3%

Over 4.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.6%

Home Team to Score76.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.1%

Away Clean Sheet23.5%

Home Clean Sheet20.4%

Away Win to Nil18.7%

Home Win to Nil15.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.6%

Home Over 0.576.5%

Away Over 1.547.2%

Home Over 1.542.5%

Home Exactly 134.0%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 023.5%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

Away Exactly 020.4%

Home Over 2.517.8%

Home 3+ Goals17.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 120.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.3%

Away to win by 3+8.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.0%

Home to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.4%

Away & Over 2.527.4%

Home & Over 2.522.9%

Away & BTTS22.4%

Home & BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.515.8%

Home & No BTTS15.6%

Away & Under 2.513.7%

Home & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.5%

HT Under 1.560.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.7%

HT Draw38.8%

HT Away Win32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win28.7%

HT Under 0.525.5%

HT/FT Away/Away24.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT/FT Home/Home20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions