England · Championship

Bristol City vs Lincoln

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Bristol City 41.9% Draw 24.7% Lincoln 33.4%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lincoln: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bristol City

L W W W D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Lincoln

W L D D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win41.9%

Draw24.7%

Lincoln win33.4%

Over 1.5 goals87.3%

Over 2.5 goals67.4%

Over 3.5 goals45.7%

Both teams to score68.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Both Halves Over 0.567.3%

Goal in Both Halves67.3%

Home or Draw (1X)65.4%

Draw or Away (X2)56.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.5%

Draw No Bet - Away44.5%

Home Win43.1%

Away Win34.6%

Draw22.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.1%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals73.1%

Over 2.5 Goals67.4%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 3.5 Goals54.3%

1-3 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.7%

4+ Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals32.6%

1-2 Goals29.5%

Over 4.5 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Under 1.5 Goals13.9%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score80.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.3%

Home Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil16.4%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Win to Nil12.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.580.5%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Over 1.548.6%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 2.522.5%

Away 3+ Goals22.5%

Away Exactly 019.5%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 212.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.3%

Home to win by 3+10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 210.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.8%

Away to win by 3+6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.3%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

Home & BTTS26.7%

Away & Over 2.525.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.3%

Away & BTTS21.8%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS16.4%

Away & No BTTS12.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.4%

Home & Under 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.0%

HT Under 1.553.7%

HT Over 1.546.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Draw35.8%

HT Home Win34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Away Win29.4%

HT Both Teams Score29.3%

HT/FT Home/Home26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.1%

HT Under 0.521.0%

HT/FT Away/Away20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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