England · Championship

Bristol City vs Millwall

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

87% confidence

Bristol City 45.0% Draw 43.0% Millwall 12.0%

Over 2.5 - 13% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Bristol City advantage

82%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Defensive strength

78%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Bristol City has a slight advantage with home pi-rating. Millwall's injury issues may impact their attack. Bristol City's defense is strong, with a high clean sheet percentage. The low expected goals and low BTTS rate suggest a tight match. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the teams' defensive strengths and low scoring trends.

💡

Top Tip

Under 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Millwall's chance of scoring three or more is only 0.7%, which supports the selected team-goals market.

Low scoring

Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals

Millwall 3+ goals

0.7%

Model chance of scoring at least three

Millwall under 3 goals

99.3%

Probability behind the selected NO market

Bristol City

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.5

Millwall

D L D W

Form 1-2-1 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win45.0%

Draw43.0%

Millwall win12.0%

Over 1.5 goals36.3%

Over 2.5 goals13.0%

Over 3.5 goals3.7%

Both teams to score19.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

89.2%

Under 2.5 Goals

87.1%

Home or Draw (1X)

84.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.7%

Draw No Bet - Home74.8%

Home or Away (12)60.8%

Draw or Away (X2)54.5%

Home Win45.5%

Draw39.2%

Exactly 1 Goal35.9%

Draw No Bet - Away25.2%

Both Halves Over 0.521.1%

Goal in Both Halves21.1%

Away Win15.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.1%

Under 3.5 Goals96.3%

Under 2.5 Goals87.1%

Over 0.5 Goals71.0%

1-3 Goals67.3%

Under 1.5 Goals64.9%

1-2 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even54.2%

Total Goals Odd45.8%

Over 1.5 Goals35.1%

2-4 Goals34.2%

2-3 Goals31.4%

Under 0.5 Goals29.0%

Exactly 0 Goals29.0%

Exactly 2 Goals22.2%

Over 2.5 Goals12.9%

3-4 Goals12.0%

Exactly 3 Goals9.2%

Over 3.5 Goals3.7%

4+ Goals3.7%

Over 4.5 Goals0.9%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)81.9%

Home Clean Sheet68.7%

Home Team to Score57.8%

Away Clean Sheet42.2%

Home Win to Nil39.7%

Away Team to Score31.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)18.1%

Away Win to Nil13.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 068.7%

Home Over 0.557.8%

Home Exactly 042.2%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 0.531.3%

Away Exactly 125.8%

Home Over 1.521.4%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Away Over 1.55.5%

Away Exactly 24.8%

Away Over 2.50.7%

Away 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw29.3%

Home to win by 129.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%

Home to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.3%

Away to win by 22.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.577.8%

Home & No BTTS39.7%

Draw & Under 2.538.4%

Home & Under 2.535.8%

Away & No BTTS13.2%

Away & Under 2.512.9%

Draw & BTTS10.2%

Home & Over 2.59.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Home & BTTS5.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.2%

Away & Over 2.52.4%

Away & BTTS2.1%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.589.2%

HT Draw61.1%

HT Under 0.557.3%

HT Over 0.542.7%

Equal Goals Each Half41.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw34.1%

2nd Half More Goals33.3%

HT Home Win28.0%

1st Half More Goals25.6%

HT/FT Home/Home25.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Away Win10.9%

HT Over 1.510.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT Both Teams Score5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions