England · Championship

Bristol City vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Bristol City 41.6% Draw 24.6% Portsmouth 33.8%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bristol City

D L L W

Form 1-1-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.25

Portsmouth

W L L D

Form 1-1-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win41.6%

Draw24.6%

Portsmouth win33.8%

Over 1.5 goals87.5%

Over 2.5 goals67.7%

Over 3.5 goals46.1%

Both teams to score69.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.567.6%

Goal in Both Halves67.6%

Home or Draw (1X)65.0%

Draw or Away (X2)57.2%

Draw No Bet - Home55.0%

Draw No Bet - Away45.0%

Home Win42.8%

Away Win35.0%

Draw22.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.3%

Under 5.5 Goals85.9%

Under 4.5 Goals72.8%

Over 2.5 Goals67.7%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 3.5 Goals53.9%

1-3 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.1%

4+ Goals46.1%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals32.3%

1-2 Goals29.2%

Over 4.5 Goals27.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals13.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score80.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.1%

Home Clean Sheet19.2%

Home Win to Nil16.2%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Win to Nil12.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.580.8%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Over 1.549.1%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.523.0%

Away 3+ Goals23.0%

Away Exactly 019.2%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 119.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.2%

Home to win by 3+10.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.0%

Away to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.7%

Home & Over 2.532.0%

Home & BTTS26.6%

Away & Over 2.525.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.0%

Away & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS16.2%

Away & No BTTS12.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.2%

HT Under 1.553.5%

HT Over 1.546.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Draw35.7%

HT Home Win34.6%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Away Win29.7%

HT Both Teams Score29.5%

HT/FT Home/Home26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT/FT Away/Away21.0%

HT Under 0.520.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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