England · Championship

Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Bristol City 29.9% Draw 25.5% Sheffield Utd 44.6%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bristol City: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bristol City

L D W L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Sheffield Utd

L W L L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win29.9%

Draw25.5%

Sheffield Utd win44.6%

Over 1.5 goals84.8%

Over 2.5 goals62.9%

Over 3.5 goals40.7%

Both teams to score65.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Draw or Away (X2)68.8%

Both Halves Over 0.563.9%

Goal in Both Halves63.9%

Draw No Bet - Away59.5%

Home or Draw (1X)54.1%

Away Win45.9%

Draw No Bet - Home40.5%

Home Win31.2%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals89.0%

Over 1.5 Goals83.4%

Under 4.5 Goals77.3%

Over 2.5 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 3.5 Goals59.3%

1-3 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.7%

Over 3.5 Goals40.7%

4+ Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.1%

1-2 Goals33.2%

Over 4.5 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals16.6%

Over 5.5 Goals11.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score83.4%

Home Team to Score76.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.2%

Away Clean Sheet23.5%

Away Win to Nil19.6%

Home Clean Sheet16.6%

Home Win to Nil12.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 0.576.5%

Away Over 1.553.6%

Home Over 1.542.5%

Home Exactly 134.0%

Away Exactly 129.8%

Away Over 2.526.8%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away 3+ Goals26.8%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 023.5%

Home Over 2.517.8%

Home 3+ Goals17.8%

Away Exactly 016.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.0%

Away to win by 3+11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 29.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.2%

Home to win by 3+5.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.7%

Away & Over 2.532.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.9%

Away & BTTS26.3%

Home & Over 2.521.5%

Away & No BTTS19.6%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.0%

Away & Under 2.513.3%

Home & No BTTS12.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.8%

HT Under 1.557.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Over 1.542.9%

HT Draw37.2%

HT Away Win36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT/FT Away/Away28.3%

HT Home Win26.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.6%

HT Under 0.523.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.9%

HT/FT Home/Home18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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