England · League Cup

Bristol City vs Walsall

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

85% confidence

Bristol City 85.0% Draw 12.0% Walsall 3.0%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 24%

✗ Pick missed (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strong Home Form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 68%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG Values

78%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive Strength

74%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Bristol City's strong home form and high xG values indicate a likely win. With Dom Ballard's signing, their attacking threat is boosted. Walsall's injury concerns and lack of historical data make them less favorable. Bristol City's defensive strength, with a 100% clean sheet record in the last match, also supports a home win.

💡

Top Tip

Bristol City is likely to win at home against Walsall

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 18.9%, based on the goal model.

Strong Home Form

Numbers behind this Home Win

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

68%

Market does not fully agree

Bristol City

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0

Walsall

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win85.0%

Draw12.0%

Walsall win3.0%

Over 1.5 goals78.0%

Over 2.5 goals53.9%

Over 3.5 goals31.4%

Both teams to score24.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)97.0%

Draw No Bet - Home96.7%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Home Win85.7%

Both Halves Over 0.556.8%

Goal in Both Halves56.8%

Exactly 1 Goal16.7%

Draw or Away (X2)14.2%

Draw11.3%

Draw No Bet - Away3.3%

Away Win2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.0%

Under 5.5 Goals93.3%

Under 4.5 Goals84.4%

Over 1.5 Goals77.3%

Under 3.5 Goals68.6%

1-3 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 2.5 Goals46.4%

2-3 Goals45.9%

1-2 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.1%

Over 3.5 Goals31.4%

4+ Goals31.4%

Exactly 2 Goals23.6%

Under 1.5 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.6%

Over 5.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.2%

Home Clean Sheet74.0%

Home Win to Nil68.1%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Away Exactly 074.0%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.2%

Home to win by 3+40.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.1%

Home to win by 224.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS68.1%

Home & Over 2.551.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.541.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.534.3%

Home & Under 2.533.8%

BTTS & Over 2.519.3%

Home & BTTS17.6%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & BTTS5.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.9%

Away & BTTS0.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.0%

HT Under 1.563.6%

HT Home Win63.2%

HT/FT Home/Home61.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Over 1.536.4%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.6%

HT Both Teams Score8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT Away Win4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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