England · Championship

Bristol City vs Wolves

Kick-off 21:00 · Wed, Nov 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Bristol City 14.2% Draw 25.0% Wolves 60.8%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wolves: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bristol City

W D L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.83

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bristol City win14.2%

Draw25.0%

Wolves win60.8%

Over 1.5 goals75.0%

Over 2.5 goals48.7%

Over 3.5 goals26.8%

Both teams to score47.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

84.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

84.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)84.4%

Draw No Bet - Away80.0%

Home or Away (12)77.8%

Away Win62.2%

Both Halves Over 0.552.9%

Goal in Both Halves52.9%

Home or Draw (1X)37.8%

Draw22.2%

Draw No Bet - Home20.0%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Home Win15.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.8%

4+ Goals26.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.0%

Home Team to Score54.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)45.8%

Away Clean Sheet45.5%

Away Win to Nil38.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.0%

Home Win to Nil8.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.0%

Away Over 1.554.7%

Home Over 0.554.5%

Home Exactly 045.5%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Away Exactly 129.3%

Away Over 2.527.8%

Away 3+ Goals27.8%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Over 1.518.7%

Away Exactly 016.0%

Home Exactly 214.1%

Home Over 2.54.6%

Home 3+ Goals4.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.6%

Away to win by 125.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.3%

Away to win by 219.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.3%

Away to win by 3+17.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 111.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.6%

Home to win by 23.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.8%

Away & No BTTS38.2%

Away & Over 2.536.6%

BTTS & Over 2.535.3%

Away & Under 2.525.6%

Away & BTTS24.0%

Draw & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Home & No BTTS8.7%

Home & Under 2.58.0%

Home & Over 2.57.6%

Home & BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.0%

HT Away Win44.6%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw40.4%

HT/FT Away/Away39.7%

HT Over 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.8%

HT Home Win15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.2%

HT/FT Home/Home8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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