South-Korea · K League 1

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Bucheon FC 1995 87.4% Draw 10.2% Gwangju FC 2.4%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 49%

⚠️ AIs disagree

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Bucheon FC 1995: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

49%

Market does not fully agree

Bucheon FC 1995

W D L L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Gwangju FC

L L D D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bucheon FC 1995 win87.4%

Draw10.2%

Gwangju FC win2.4%

Over 1.5 goals85.2%

Over 2.5 goals64.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.8%

Both teams to score31.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.6%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.0%

Home Win

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.8%

Draw No Bet - Home96.8%

Home or Away (12)90.6%

Home Win87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Draw or Away (X2)12.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Draw9.1%

Draw No Bet - Away3.2%

Away Win2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals75.7%

Over 2.5 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.3%

1-3 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals42.7%

4+ Goals42.7%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.3%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.6%

Over 5.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.7%

Home Clean Sheet66.7%

Home Win to Nil63.2%

Away Team to Score33.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.3%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 1.578.9%

Away Exactly 066.7%

Home Over 2.556.1%

Home 3+ Goals56.1%

Away Over 0.533.0%

Away Exactly 126.8%

Home Exactly 222.8%

Home Exactly 115.5%

Away Over 1.56.2%

Away Exactly 25.4%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away52.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.6%

Home to win by 3+47.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 222.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 12.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS63.2%

Home & Over 2.562.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.537.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.8%

BTTS & Over 2.527.1%

Home & Under 2.525.6%

Home & BTTS24.5%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & BTTS5.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.4%

Away & Over 2.51.2%

Away & BTTS1.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Home Win67.3%

HT/FT Home/Home65.6%

HT Under 1.555.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.4%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT Away Win4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Away/Away1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Bucheon FC 1995 win45%

Draw45%

Gwangju FC win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Bucheon FC 1995 or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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