South-Korea · K League 1

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Bucheon FC 1995 49.9% Draw 21.4% Pohang Steelers 28.7%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

59%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Bucheon FC 1995: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bucheon FC 1995

W D W D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Pohang Steelers

W L L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Bucheon FC 1995 1wins ·0 draws ·Pohang Steelers 0wins

Bucheon FC 1995 2-0 Pohang SteelersMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bucheon FC 1995 win49.9%

Draw21.4%

Pohang Steelers win28.7%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.1%

Over 3.5 goals59.2%

Both teams to score76.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home Team to Score

90.4%

Home Over 0.5

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.3%

Both Halves Over 0.575.7%

Goal in Both Halves75.7%

Home or Draw (1X)70.4%

Draw No Bet - Home63.2%

Home Win50.7%

Draw or Away (X2)49.2%

Draw No Bet - Away36.8%

Away Win29.6%

Draw19.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.0%

Under 5.5 Goals76.5%

Under 4.5 Goals60.4%

Over 3.5 Goals59.1%

4+ Goals59.1%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.9%

Over 4.5 Goals39.6%

1-3 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.4%

Away Team to Score83.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.8%

Home Clean Sheet16.8%

Home Win to Nil15.2%

Away Clean Sheet9.5%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.4%

Away Over 0.583.1%

Home Over 1.567.9%

Away Over 1.553.2%

Home Over 2.541.6%

Home 3+ Goals41.6%

Away Exactly 129.9%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Over 2.526.5%

Away 3+ Goals26.5%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 122.4%

Away Exactly 016.8%

Home Exactly 09.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.2%

Home to win by 3+16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 28.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.1%

Away to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.5%

Home & Over 2.542.5%

Home & BTTS35.5%

Away & Over 2.524.1%

Away & BTTS21.6%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & No BTTS15.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Home & Under 2.58.2%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Over 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.5%

HT Home Win40.9%

HT Both Teams Score36.0%

HT/FT Home/Home32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.9%

HT Away Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.7%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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