England · Championship

Burnley vs Portsmouth

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Burnley 24.5% Draw 23.5% Portsmouth 52.0%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 67%

✓ Pick was correct (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portsmouth: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Burnley

L D W D L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Portsmouth

W W W L D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Burnley win24.5%

Draw23.5%

Portsmouth win52.0%

Over 1.5 goals87.3%

Over 2.5 goals67.4%

Over 3.5 goals45.8%

Both teams to score67.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.8%

Away Team to Score

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.8%

Draw or Away (X2)74.3%

Draw No Bet - Away67.4%

Both Halves Over 0.567.4%

Goal in Both Halves67.4%

Away Win53.1%

Home or Draw (1X)46.8%

Draw No Bet - Home32.6%

Home Win25.7%

Draw21.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.1%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals73.1%

Over 2.5 Goals67.4%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 3.5 Goals54.3%

1-3 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.7%

4+ Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals32.6%

1-2 Goals29.5%

Over 4.5 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Under 1.5 Goals13.9%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.4%

Home Team to Score75.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Away Clean Sheet24.7%

Away Win to Nil21.6%

Home Clean Sheet12.5%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.4%

Home Over 0.575.3%

Away Over 1.561.4%

Home Over 1.540.7%

Home Exactly 134.5%

Away Over 2.534.4%

Away 3+ Goals34.4%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.0%

Home Exactly 024.7%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Home Over 2.516.6%

Home 3+ Goals16.6%

Away Exactly 012.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.0%

Away to win by 216.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.6%

Away to win by 3+15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.3%

Home to win by 27.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.8%

Away & Over 2.540.0%

Away & BTTS31.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.6%

Away & No BTTS21.6%

Home & Over 2.518.3%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & BTTS16.2%

Away & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Home & Under 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Under 1.553.7%

HT Over 1.546.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Away Win41.2%

HT Draw35.2%

HT/FT Away/Away33.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.3%

HT Home Win23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.6%

HT/FT Home/Home14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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