England · Championship

Burnley vs Wolves

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Oct 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Burnley 21.1% Draw 16.2% Wolves 62.7%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wolves: 6 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Burnley

D W D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Burnley 2wins ·2 draws ·Wolves 1wins

Burnley 1-1 WolvesMay 24, 2026

Burnley 3-2 WolvesOct 26, 2025

Burnley 1-1 WolvesApr 2, 2024

Burnley 0-1 WolvesDec 5, 2023

Burnley 1-0 WolvesApr 24, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Burnley win21.1%

Draw16.2%

Wolves win62.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.5%

Over 3.5 goals78.5%

Both teams to score84.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Away Team to Score

91.5%

Away Over 0.5

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Both Halves Over 0.576.0%

Goal in Both Halves76.0%

Draw or Away (X2)74.1%

Draw No Bet - Away68.1%

Away Win55.1%

Home or Draw (1X)44.8%

Draw No Bet - Home31.9%

Home Win25.8%

Draw19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.2%

Under 5.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals60.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.5%

4+ Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals23.8%

Under 2.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.5%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.5%

Home Team to Score81.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.6%

Away Clean Sheet18.6%

Away Win to Nil17.0%

Home Clean Sheet8.4%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.5%

Home Over 0.581.3%

Away Over 1.570.6%

Home Over 1.550.0%

Away Over 2.544.8%

Away 3+ Goals44.8%

Home Exactly 131.3%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Over 2.523.7%

Home 3+ Goals23.7%

Away Exactly 120.9%

Home Exactly 018.6%

Away Exactly 08.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.1%

Away to win by 3+19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.8%

Home to win by 3+4.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.9%

Away & Over 2.546.4%

Away & BTTS38.1%

Home & Over 2.520.9%

Home & BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Away & No BTTS17.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.6%

HT Over 1.555.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.544.3%

HT Away Win43.8%

HT/FT Away/Away36.1%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Home Win24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT Under 0.515.4%

HT/FT Home/Home15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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