England · League Cup

Burton Albion vs Blackburn

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)

58% confidence

Burton Albion 58.0% Draw 32.0% Blackburn 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 20% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Burton home advantage

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 59%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring expected

75%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Blackburn struggling to score

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Burton Albion has home advantage, while Blackburn is in poor form. Burton's attacking threat is moderate, but Blackburn's defensive strength is a concern. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of data. The H2H significance is low as there is no recorded meeting.

💡

Top Tip

Home or Draw is the strongest pick due to Burton's home advantage and Blackburn's poor form

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 90% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 10.0% on the only losing outcome.

Burton home advantage

Numbers behind this Home or Draw (1X)

1X · Home or Draw

90%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

10%

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

59%

Market does not fully agree

Burton Albion

No recent results stored yet

Blackburn

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:1 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Burton Albion win58.0%

Draw32.0%

Blackburn win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals47.4%

Over 2.5 goals20.4%

Over 3.5 goals7.4%

Both teams to score19.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.3%

Draw No Bet - Home87.6%

Home or Away (12)70.4%

Home Win61.7%

Draw or Away (X2)38.3%

Exactly 1 Goal32.7%

Draw29.6%

Both Halves Over 0.529.2%

Goal in Both Halves29.2%

Draw No Bet - Away12.4%

Away Win8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.5%

Under 4.5 Goals97.8%

Under 3.5 Goals92.6%

Under 2.5 Goals79.2%

Over 0.5 Goals79.1%

1-3 Goals71.7%

1-2 Goals58.3%

Under 1.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even52.2%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Over 1.5 Goals46.4%

2-4 Goals44.2%

2-3 Goals39.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.6%

Under 0.5 Goals20.9%

Exactly 0 Goals20.9%

Over 2.5 Goals20.8%

3-4 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Over 3.5 Goals7.4%

4+ Goals7.4%

Over 4.5 Goals2.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)81.4%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Team to Score71.8%

Home Win to Nil53.2%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)18.6%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 0.571.8%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw31.8%

Home to win by 131.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 218.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.571.3%

Home & No BTTS53.2%

Home & Under 2.543.2%

Draw & Under 2.528.8%

Home & Over 2.518.5%

BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Home & BTTS8.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

Away & Under 2.57.2%

Away & Over 2.51.5%

Away & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.584.3%

HT Draw53.3%

HT Over 0.550.6%

HT Under 0.549.4%

HT Home Win39.3%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

2nd Half More Goals36.7%

Equal Goals Each Half35.6%

1st Half More Goals27.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.8%

HT Over 1.515.7%

HT Away Win7.4%

HT Both Teams Score5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Burton Albion win33%

Draw33%

Blackburn win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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