Italy · Serie A

Cagliari vs Bologna

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Cagliari 34.2% Draw 29.3% Bologna 36.6%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 53%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cagliari: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Cagliari 1 wins, 1 draws, Bologna 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Cagliari

L D W W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Bologna

L W D L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Cagliari 1wins ·1 draws ·Bologna 3wins

Cagliari 0-0 BolognaMay 3, 2026

Cagliari 0-2 BolognaOct 19, 2025

Cagliari 1-2 BolognaMar 2, 2025

Cagliari 0-2 BolognaOct 29, 2024

Cagliari 2-1 BolognaJan 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cagliari win34.2%

Draw29.3%

Bologna win36.6%

Over 1.5 goals65.3%

Over 2.5 goals46.5%

Over 3.5 goals18.5%

Both teams to score53.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.0%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.8%

Draw or Away (X2)71.4%

Draw No Bet - Away60.7%

Home or Draw (1X)55.8%

Both Halves Over 0.548.5%

Goal in Both Halves48.5%

Away Win44.2%

Draw No Bet - Home39.3%

Home Win28.6%

Draw27.2%

Exactly 1 Goal21.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.4%

Over 0.5 Goals91.0%

Under 4.5 Goals90.3%

Under 3.5 Goals77.7%

Over 1.5 Goals69.3%

1-3 Goals68.7%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 2.5 Goals56.8%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.8%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals33.5%

Under 1.5 Goals30.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.3%

4+ Goals22.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.0%

Exactly 0 Goals9.0%

Over 5.5 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score74.5%

Home Team to Score64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.2%

Away Clean Sheet35.3%

Away Win to Nil26.3%

Home Clean Sheet25.5%

Home Win to Nil16.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.574.5%

Home Over 0.564.7%

Away Over 1.539.6%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.3%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Over 1.527.9%

Away Exactly 025.5%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 219.1%

Away Over 2.515.8%

Away 3+ Goals15.8%

Home Over 2.58.8%

Home 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.4%

Away to win by 123.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 213.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 27.7%

Away to win by 3+7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.1%

Home to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.0%

BTTS & Over 2.535.4%

Away & No BTTS26.3%

Away & Over 2.523.5%

Draw & Under 2.521.8%

Away & Under 2.520.7%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Away & BTTS17.9%

Home & No BTTS16.5%

Home & Over 2.514.3%

Home & Under 2.514.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

Home & BTTS12.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.5%

HT Over 0.566.1%

HT Draw44.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Under 0.533.9%

HT Away Win32.6%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.5%

Equal Goals Each Half27.4%

HT/FT Away/Away26.2%

HT Home Win23.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.5%

HT Both Teams Score17.2%

HT/FT Home/Home16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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