Italy · Serie A

Cagliari vs Frosinone

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Cagliari 23.9% Draw 22.3% Frosinone 53.8%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Frosinone: 4 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Cagliari

L L L L D W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:13 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Frosinone

W W D W L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 17:10 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 2

Cagliari 1wins ·0 draws ·Frosinone 1wins

Cagliari 1-3 FrosinoneJan 21, 2024

Cagliari 4-3 FrosinoneOct 29, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cagliari win23.9%

Draw22.3%

Frosinone win53.8%

Over 1.5 goals81.9%

Over 2.5 goals74.8%

Over 3.5 goals38.1%

Both teams to score67.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Both Halves Over 0.579.2%

Goal in Both Halves79.2%

Draw or Away (X2)77.4%

Draw No Bet - Away72.8%

Away Win59.9%

Home or Draw (1X)39.8%

Draw No Bet - Home27.2%

Home Win22.4%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.0%

Under 5.5 Goals71.1%

Over 3.5 Goals65.0%

4+ Goals65.0%

Under 4.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals47.6%

Over 4.5 Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Under 3.5 Goals35.0%

1-3 Goals33.6%

Over 5.5 Goals28.9%

2-3 Goals28.5%

Under 2.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.6%

Exactly 2 Goals11.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.5%

Home Team to Score81.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.6%

Away Clean Sheet18.2%

Away Win to Nil17.1%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 0.581.6%

Away Over 1.576.1%

Away Over 2.552.0%

Away 3+ Goals52.0%

Home Over 1.550.6%

Home Exactly 131.0%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 2.524.2%

Home 3+ Goals24.2%

Away Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 018.2%

Away Exactly 117.4%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.6%

Away to win by 3+23.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 112.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 26.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.1%

Home to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.0%

Away & Over 2.552.4%

Away & BTTS42.9%

Home & Over 2.518.8%

Home & BTTS17.3%

Away & No BTTS17.1%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Away & Under 2.57.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS5.1%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Over 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Away Win47.6%

HT Under 1.540.3%

HT/FT Away/Away40.3%

HT Both Teams Score38.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.5%

HT Home Win22.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.0%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Home/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions