Italy · Serie A

Cagliari vs Inter

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Cagliari 12.0% Draw 17.7% Inter 70.2%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cagliari: 13 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Cagliari

W W W L D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Inter

W D D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 15:7 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Cagliari 0wins ·1 draws ·Inter 4wins

Cagliari 0-3 InterApr 17, 2026

Cagliari 0-2 InterSep 27, 2025

Cagliari 1-3 InterApr 12, 2025

Cagliari 0-3 InterDec 28, 2024

Cagliari 2-2 InterApr 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cagliari win12.0%

Draw17.7%

Inter win70.2%

Over 1.5 goals83.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.8%

Over 3.5 goals39.9%

Both teams to score84.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

86.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

84.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

84.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Draw or Away (X2)82.2%

Both Halves Over 0.579.5%

Goal in Both Halves79.5%

Draw No Bet - Away79.2%

Away Win66.4%

Home or Draw (1X)33.2%

Draw No Bet - Home20.8%

Home Win17.4%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.3%

Under 5.5 Goals70.7%

Over 3.5 Goals65.4%

4+ Goals65.4%

Under 4.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals47.1%

Over 4.5 Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 3.5 Goals34.6%

1-3 Goals33.2%

Over 5.5 Goals29.3%

2-3 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals17.7%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

1-2 Goals16.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score78.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.9%

Away Clean Sheet21.5%

Away Win to Nil20.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Away Over 1.579.2%

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 2.556.5%

Away 3+ Goals56.5%

Home Over 1.545.1%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 021.5%

Home Over 2.519.8%

Home 3+ Goals19.8%

Away Exactly 115.3%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home33.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.1%

Away to win by 3+29.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 218.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.9%

Home to win by 19.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.8%

Home to win by 24.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.7%

Home to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.0%

Away & Over 2.558.2%

Away & BTTS46.0%

Away & No BTTS20.4%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Home & Over 2.514.4%

Home & BTTS13.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS4.0%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Over 1.560.0%

HT Away Win52.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT/FT Away/Away45.9%

HT Under 1.540.0%

HT Both Teams Score36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.5%

HT Home Win19.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.0%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT/FT Home/Home10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions