Italy · Serie A

Cagliari vs Juventus

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Cagliari 21.1% Draw 27.3% Juventus 51.6%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cagliari: 15 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Cagliari

W W W L W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 7:3 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.5

Juventus

W L D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Cagliari 1wins ·2 draws ·Juventus 2wins

Cagliari 1-0 JuventusJan 17, 2026

Cagliari 1-2 JuventusNov 29, 2025

Cagliari 0-1 JuventusFeb 23, 2025

Cagliari 1-1 JuventusOct 6, 2024

Cagliari 2-2 JuventusApr 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cagliari win21.1%

Draw27.3%

Juventus win51.6%

Over 1.5 goals64.9%

Over 2.5 goals47.5%

Over 3.5 goals18.4%

Both teams to score54.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

85.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.9%

Draw or Away (X2)65.1%

Home or Draw (1X)61.9%

Draw No Bet - Away52.2%

Both Halves Over 0.550.2%

Goal in Both Halves50.2%

Draw No Bet - Home47.8%

Away Win38.1%

Home Win34.9%

Draw27.1%

Exactly 1 Goal20.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.9%

Over 0.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals89.3%

Under 3.5 Goals76.0%

Over 1.5 Goals71.0%

1-3 Goals67.7%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 2.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.4%

Over 2.5 Goals45.3%

3-4 Goals34.6%

Under 1.5 Goals29.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 3.5 Goals24.0%

4+ Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals8.3%

Exactly 0 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score72.1%

Home Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.4%

Away Clean Sheet29.8%

Home Clean Sheet27.9%

Away Win to Nil21.5%

Home Win to Nil19.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.572.1%

Home Over 0.570.2%

Away Over 1.536.5%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Home Over 1.534.1%

Home Exactly 029.8%

Away Exactly 027.9%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Over 2.513.8%

Away 3+ Goals13.8%

Home Over 2.512.3%

Home 3+ Goals12.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.2%

Away to win by 121.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.9%

Home to win by 29.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%

Home to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.8%

BTTS & Over 2.537.8%

Away & No BTTS21.5%

Draw & Under 2.521.1%

Away & Over 2.520.7%

Home & No BTTS19.6%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & Over 2.518.7%

Away & Under 2.517.4%

Away & BTTS16.6%

Home & Under 2.516.1%

Home & BTTS15.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.2%

HT Over 0.567.4%

HT Draw43.7%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Under 0.532.6%

HT Over 1.530.8%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

HT Away Win29.1%

HT Home Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half26.8%

HT/FT Away/Away22.2%

HT/FT Home/Home20.1%

HT Both Teams Score18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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