England · League Cup

Cambridge United vs Barnet

Kick-off 13:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

40% confidence

Cambridge United 40.0% Draw 30.0% Barnet 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG values

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

75%

Home or Draw (1X)

Cambridge home advantage

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Cambridge United and Barnet have no historical data, but Cambridge's home advantage and Barnet's loan signings may impact the game. Kylian Kouassi's injury setback for Cambridge United could reduce their attacking threat. With expected goals of 1.392 for Cambridge and 1.21 for Barnet, both teams are likely to score. The League Cup draw rate is around 24%, which is a factor in this match. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals and BTTS rate.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 74.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

74.9%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Cambridge United

No recent results stored yet

Barnet

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cambridge United win40.0%

Draw30.0%

Barnet win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals74.9%

Over 2.5 goals48.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score54.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.7%

Home or Draw (1X)67.4%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.8%

Both Halves Over 0.552.5%

Goal in Both Halves52.5%

Draw No Bet - Away44.2%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win32.6%

Draw26.2%

Exactly 1 Goal19.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.1%

Over 0.5 Goals92.6%

Under 4.5 Goals87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals73.6%

Over 1.5 Goals73.3%

1-3 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.2%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 1.5 Goals26.7%

Over 3.5 Goals26.4%

4+ Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals7.4%

Exactly 0 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score75.1%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.3%

Home Clean Sheet29.8%

Away Clean Sheet24.9%

Home Win to Nil22.4%

Away Win to Nil17.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.575.1%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 1.540.5%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 134.6%

Away Over 1.534.1%

Away Exactly 029.8%

Home Exactly 024.9%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Over 2.516.5%

Home 3+ Goals16.5%

Away Over 2.512.3%

Away 3+ Goals12.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 119.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 29.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.3%

Home & Over 2.523.6%

Home & No BTTS22.4%

Draw & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & BTTS18.7%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Home & Under 2.517.5%

Away & No BTTS17.4%

Away & BTTS15.2%

Away & Under 2.514.4%

BTTS & Under 2.512.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.0%

HT Under 1.567.3%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.5%

HT Over 1.532.7%

HT Home Win31.4%

HT Under 0.531.0%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Away Win26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half26.1%

HT/FT Home/Home24.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.5%

HT/FT Away/Away18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Cambridge United win0%

Draw50%

Barnet win50%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Barnet

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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