Netherlands · Eredivisie

Cambuur vs Excelsior

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Aug 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

34% confidence

Cambuur 34.1% Draw 32.6% Excelsior 33.3%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Excelsior: 4 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Cambuur

D L W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Excelsior

W D W W D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

Cambuur 0wins ·0 draws ·Excelsior 2wins

Cambuur 1-4 ExcelsiorMar 19, 2023

Cambuur 0-2 ExcelsiorAug 6, 2022

🏥 Cambuur unavailable

D. Visser · Knee Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cambuur win34.1%

Draw32.6%

Excelsior win33.3%

Over 1.5 goals67.3%

Over 2.5 goals91.8%

Over 3.5 goals18.8%

Both teams to score84.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

88.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)86.7%

Home or Away (12)86.3%

Draw No Bet - Away85.6%

Both Halves Over 0.582.8%

Goal in Both Halves82.8%

Away Win73.9%

Home or Draw (1X)25.3%

Draw No Bet - Home14.4%

Draw12.9%

Home Win12.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.6%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals64.5%

Over 4.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals47.0%

2-4 Goals41.7%

Over 5.5 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals32.6%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals27.4%

2-3 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

Under 2.5 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals12.7%

Exactly 2 Goals9.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score76.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.5%

Away Clean Sheet23.1%

Away Win to Nil22.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.584.7%

Home Over 0.576.0%

Away Over 2.565.7%

Away 3+ Goals65.7%

Home Over 1.542.4%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.1%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Over 2.517.9%

Home 3+ Goals17.9%

Away Exactly 111.1%

Away Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)73.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.1%

Away to win by 3+38.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home25.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 218.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 17.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.3%

Home to win by 23.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.8%

Away & Over 2.566.8%

Away & BTTS51.5%

Away & No BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Home & Over 2.510.5%

Home & BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & No BTTS2.5%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Over 1.564.5%

HT Away Win58.8%

HT/FT Away/Away53.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score37.8%

HT Under 1.535.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.1%

HT Home Win15.7%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT/FT Home/Home7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Cambuur

D. Visser Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Cambuur win0%

Draw50%

Excelsior win50%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Excelsior

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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