Netherlands · Eredivisie

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Cambuur 8.2% Draw 13.1% NEC Nijmegen 78.1%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to NEC Nijmegen: 2 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Cambuur

D L L L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:19 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 3.17

NEC Nijmegen

D L W L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 4

Cambuur 1wins ·1 draws ·NEC Nijmegen 2wins

Cambuur 0-0 NEC NijmegenFeb 11, 2023

Cambuur 0-1 NEC NijmegenNov 4, 2022

Cambuur 1-2 NEC NijmegenApr 3, 2022

Cambuur 3-2 NEC NijmegenNov 26, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cambuur win8.2%

Draw13.1%

NEC Nijmegen win78.1%

Over 1.5 goals92.5%

Over 2.5 goals96.5%

Over 3.5 goals60.7%

Both teams to score89.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.3%

Goal in Both Halves85.3%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Draw or Away (X2)80.8%

Draw No Bet - Away78.2%

Away Win66.1%

Home or Draw (1X)33.2%

Draw No Bet - Home21.8%

Home Win18.4%

Draw14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals88.5%

Over 3.5 Goals75.7%

4+ Goals75.7%

Over 4.5 Goals58.9%

Under 5.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals41.5%

Under 4.5 Goals41.1%

2-4 Goals36.9%

3-4 Goals29.5%

Under 3.5 Goals24.3%

1-3 Goals23.0%

2-3 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.5%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score83.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.2%

Away Clean Sheet15.5%

Away Win to Nil15.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.584.1%

Home Over 0.583.7%

Away Over 2.564.5%

Away 3+ Goals64.5%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Home Exactly 128.8%

Home Over 2.528.2%

Home 3+ Goals28.2%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 015.5%

Away Exactly 111.6%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away48.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home33.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.3%

Away to win by 3+31.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.8%

Home to win by 19.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.2%

Home to win by 25.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.5%

Home to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.4%

Away & Over 2.561.2%

Away & BTTS51.1%

Home & Over 2.516.5%

Home & BTTS15.5%

Away & No BTTS15.0%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.0%

HT Away Win53.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT/FT Away/Away46.6%

HT Both Teams Score44.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.0%

HT Draw26.0%

HT Home Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.8%

HT/FT Home/Home10.8%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions