Netherlands · Eredivisie

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 16:45 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Cambuur 14.8% Draw 15.5% PSV Eindhoven 69.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cambuur: 14 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Cambuur

W W D W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 17:4 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.67

PSV Eindhoven

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 4

Cambuur 1wins ·0 draws ·PSV Eindhoven 3wins

Cambuur 2-5 PSV EindhovenMar 12, 2023

Cambuur 3-0 PSV EindhovenOct 1, 2022

Cambuur 1-2 PSV EindhovenApr 23, 2022

Cambuur 1-4 PSV EindhovenAug 21, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cambuur win14.8%

Draw15.5%

PSV Eindhoven win69.1%

Over 1.5 goals94.7%

Over 2.5 goals95.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.3%

Both teams to score91.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.5%

Goal in Both Halves88.5%

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Home or Draw (1X)61.8%

Draw or Away (X2)54.6%

Draw No Bet - Home54.4%

Draw No Bet - Away45.6%

Home Win44.8%

Away Win37.6%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals92.0%

Over 3.5 Goals81.8%

4+ Goals81.8%

Over 4.5 Goals67.3%

Over 5.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 5.5 Goals49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals32.7%

2-4 Goals30.0%

3-4 Goals24.7%

Under 3.5 Goals18.2%

1-3 Goals17.3%

2-3 Goals15.4%

Exactly 3 Goals10.1%

Under 2.5 Goals8.0%

1-2 Goals7.1%

Exactly 2 Goals5.3%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.4%

Away Team to Score93.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.6%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil6.0%

Away Clean Sheet5.0%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.4%

Away Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.579.3%

Away Over 1.575.7%

Home Over 2.556.8%

Home 3+ Goals56.8%

Away Over 2.551.6%

Away 3+ Goals51.6%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 222.5%

Away Exactly 117.4%

Home Exactly 115.1%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Home Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.2%

Home to win by 3+16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 116.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.0%

Away to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 210.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.7%

Home & Over 2.542.4%

Home & BTTS38.8%

Away & Over 2.535.5%

Away & BTTS32.9%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

Home & No BTTS6.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.4%

HT Over 1.572.9%

HT Both Teams Score52.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Home Win39.2%

HT Away Win34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home29.3%

HT Under 1.527.1%

HT Draw26.4%

HT/FT Away/Away24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%

HT Under 0.57.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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