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Netherlands · Eredivisie

Cambuur vs Twente

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Aug 30
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
79% confidence
Cambuur 6.4% Draw 13.9% Twente 79.4%
Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%
🎯 Best Pick
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
93%
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
88%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.
BTTS Poisson estimate
Recent form leans to Twente: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-3
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
5.8%
Exact-score model probability
Cambuur
L L L D L W
Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33
Twente
L W D L W D
Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33
Head to head · last 4
Cambuur 1wins ·0 draws ·Twente 3wins
Cambuur 0-4 TwenteApr 9, 2023
Cambuur 0-1 TwenteOct 23, 2022
Cambuur 0-1 TwenteMar 6, 2022
Cambuur 2-0 TwenteAug 28, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cambuur win6.4%
Draw13.9%
Twente win79.4%
Over 1.5 goals87.9%
Over 2.5 goals98.2%
Over 3.5 goals48.4%
Both teams to score94.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)
91.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home
91.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
91.4%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.588.4%
Goal in Both Halves88.4%
Home or Away (12)83.8%
Draw or Away (X2)75.4%
Draw No Bet - Away71.8%
Away Win60.1%
Home or Draw (1X)38.9%
Draw No Bet - Home28.2%
Home Win23.6%
Draw15.3%
Exactly 1 Goal1.9%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.7%
Over 1.5 Goals96.8%
Over 2.5 Goals91.4%
Over 3.5 Goals81.2%
4+ Goals81.2%
Over 4.5 Goals66.5%
Under 5.5 Goals50.2%
Over 5.5 Goals49.8%
Total Goals Odd49.5%
Total Goals Even49.5%
Under 4.5 Goals33.5%
2-4 Goals30.3%
3-4 Goals24.9%
Under 3.5 Goals18.8%
1-3 Goals17.5%
2-3 Goals15.6%
Exactly 3 Goals10.3%
Under 2.5 Goals8.6%
1-2 Goals7.3%
Exactly 2 Goals5.4%
Under 1.5 Goals3.2%
Under 0.5 Goals1.3%
Exactly 0 Goals0.3%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score95.9%
Home Team to Score88.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)85.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)14.1%
Away Clean Sheet10.3%
Away Win to Nil10.0%
Home Clean Sheet3.2%
Home Win to Nil2.8%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.595.9%
Home Over 0.588.7%
Away Over 1.584.9%
Away Over 2.566.0%
Away 3+ Goals66.0%
Home Over 1.565.4%
Home Over 2.539.1%
Home 3+ Goals39.1%
Home Exactly 226.4%
Home Exactly 123.3%
Away Exactly 218.9%
Away Exactly 110.9%
Home Exactly 010.3%
Away Exactly 03.2%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.8%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.4%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.1%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.0%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.3%
Away to win by 3+27.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%
Away to win by 117.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%
Away to win by 215.7%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.2%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.2%
Home to win by 111.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.9%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.8%
Home to win by 26.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.6%
Home to win by 3+5.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.0%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.583.3%
Away & Over 2.557.0%
Away & BTTS50.2%
Home & Over 2.522.0%
Home & BTTS20.8%
Draw & BTTS14.9%
Draw & Over 2.512.4%
Away & No BTTS10.0%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.55.0%
Away & Under 2.53.1%
Draw & Under 2.52.9%
Home & No BTTS2.8%
BTTS & Under 2.52.6%
Home & Under 2.51.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.592.4%
HT Over 1.572.7%
2nd Half More Goals50.9%
HT Both Teams Score50.4%
HT Away Win49.7%
HT/FT Away/Away41.9%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Under 1.527.3%
HT Draw25.4%
HT Home Win24.9%
Equal Goals Each Half16.7%
HT/FT Home/Home14.3%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%
HT Under 0.57.6%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%
HT/FT Home/Away5.8%
HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Away/Home3.0%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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