England · Championship

Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Cardiff 61.1% Draw 16.1% Sheffield Utd 22.8%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 5 points versus 11 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.92 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Cardiff

L D D W

Form 1-2-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 1.75

Sheffield Utd

W D D W W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cardiff win61.1%

Draw16.1%

Sheffield Utd win22.8%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals91.8%

Over 3.5 goals81.0%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.8%

Goal in Both Halves87.8%

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Home or Draw (1X)76.1%

Draw No Bet - Home72.6%

Home Win60.9%

Draw or Away (X2)38.2%

Draw No Bet - Away27.4%

Away Win23.0%

Draw15.3%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals80.2%

4+ Goals80.2%

Over 4.5 Goals65.2%

Under 5.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals48.2%

Under 4.5 Goals34.8%

2-4 Goals31.5%

3-4 Goals25.8%

Under 3.5 Goals19.8%

1-3 Goals18.5%

2-3 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.0%

1-2 Goals7.8%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score88.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.8%

Home Clean Sheet11.0%

Home Win to Nil10.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 0.588.1%

Home Over 1.584.6%

Home Over 2.565.5%

Home 3+ Goals65.5%

Away Over 1.563.9%

Away Over 2.537.3%

Away 3+ Goals37.3%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 124.2%

Home Exactly 219.1%

Home Exactly 111.2%

Away Exactly 011.0%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.7%

Home to win by 3+27.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 111.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.5%

Home & Over 2.557.5%

Home & BTTS50.2%

Away & Over 2.521.3%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Home & No BTTS10.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.1%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Over 1.571.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Home Win50.1%

HT Both Teams Score49.3%

HT/FT Home/Home42.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.2%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Away Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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