England · Championship

Cardiff vs West Ham

Kick-off 20:45 · Wed, Nov 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Cardiff 29.3% Draw 16.5% West Ham 54.2%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cardiff: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Cardiff

W D W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

West Ham

L L W W D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cardiff win29.3%

Draw16.5%

West Ham win54.2%

Over 1.5 goals98.6%

Over 2.5 goals93.9%

Over 3.5 goals85.1%

Both teams to score89.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.0%

Goal in Both Halves90.0%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Draw or Away (X2)69.7%

Draw No Bet - Away64.8%

Away Win53.9%

Home or Draw (1X)45.1%

Draw No Bet - Home35.2%

Home Win29.3%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.9%

Over 3.5 Goals84.2%

4+ Goals84.2%

Over 4.5 Goals71.0%

Over 5.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals45.0%

Under 4.5 Goals29.0%

2-4 Goals26.3%

3-4 Goals22.0%

Under 3.5 Goals15.8%

1-3 Goals14.6%

2-3 Goals13.1%

Exactly 3 Goals8.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.1%

1-2 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.4%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.3%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil7.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.584.6%

Home Over 1.572.7%

Away Over 2.565.5%

Away 3+ Goals65.5%

Home Over 2.547.9%

Home 3+ Goals47.9%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Exactly 119.0%

Away Exactly 111.1%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Away Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.0%

Away to win by 3+23.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 214.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 112.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.3%

Home to win by 3+8.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.6%

Away & Over 2.551.7%

Away & BTTS46.9%

Home & Over 2.527.8%

Home & BTTS26.2%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.4%

Away & No BTTS7.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.4%

HT Over 1.575.4%

HT Both Teams Score54.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Away Win45.7%

HT/FT Away/Away36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win29.0%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Under 1.524.6%

HT/FT Home/Home18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.4%

HT Under 0.56.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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