Italy · Serie B

Carrarese vs Arezzo

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Carrarese 19.4% Draw 35.5% Arezzo 45.1%

Over 2.5 - 25% BTTS - 33%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 19.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.4%

Exact-score model probability

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Arezzo

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Carrarese win19.4%

Draw35.5%

Arezzo win45.1%

Over 1.5 goals53.3%

Over 2.5 goals25.2%

Over 3.5 goals9.8%

Both teams to score32.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

90.2%

Over 0.5 Goals

82.3%

HT Under 1.5

81.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)79.0%

Draw No Bet - Away68.9%

Home or Away (12)67.7%

Home or Draw (1X)53.3%

Away Win46.7%

Both Halves Over 0.533.3%

Goal in Both Halves33.3%

Draw32.3%

Draw No Bet - Home31.1%

Exactly 1 Goal30.6%

Home Win21.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.1%

Under 4.5 Goals96.8%

Under 3.5 Goals90.2%

Over 0.5 Goals82.3%

Under 2.5 Goals74.8%

1-3 Goals72.5%

1-2 Goals57.2%

Over 1.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even51.6%

2-4 Goals48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Under 1.5 Goals48.3%

2-3 Goals41.9%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Over 2.5 Goals25.2%

3-4 Goals22.0%

Under 0.5 Goals17.7%

Exactly 0 Goals17.7%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Over 3.5 Goals9.8%

4+ Goals9.8%

Over 4.5 Goals3.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.7%

Away Team to Score66.7%

Away Clean Sheet53.1%

Home Team to Score46.9%

Away Win to Nil35.4%

Home Clean Sheet33.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.3%

Home Win to Nil15.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.566.7%

Home Exactly 053.1%

Home Over 0.546.9%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 033.3%

Away Over 1.530.1%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Over 1.513.3%

Home Exactly 210.6%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Home Over 2.52.7%

Home 3+ Goals2.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.0%

Away to win by 127.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 213.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.562.5%

Away & No BTTS35.4%

Away & Under 2.530.1%

Draw & Under 2.530.0%

BTTS & Over 2.519.0%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Home & No BTTS15.6%

Home & Under 2.514.7%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Away & BTTS11.2%

Home & Over 2.56.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.581.6%

HT Over 0.554.2%

HT Draw52.5%

HT Under 0.545.8%

2nd Half More Goals38.1%

Equal Goals Each Half33.5%

HT Away Win31.3%

1st Half More Goals28.5%

HT/FT Away/Away26.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw24.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Over 1.518.4%

HT Home Win16.1%

HT/FT Home/Home11.0%

HT Both Teams Score9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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