Italy · Serie B

Carrarese vs Mantova

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Carrarese 48.4% Draw 23.9% Mantova 27.7%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Carrarese win48.4%

Draw23.9%

Mantova win27.7%

Over 1.5 goals87.7%

Over 2.5 goals68.1%

Over 3.5 goals46.6%

Both teams to score68.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

86.8%

Home Team to Score

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Home or Draw (1X)71.1%

Both Halves Over 0.567.9%

Goal in Both Halves67.9%

Draw No Bet - Home63.2%

Draw or Away (X2)50.4%

Home Win49.6%

Draw No Bet - Away36.8%

Away Win28.8%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.5%

Under 5.5 Goals85.6%

Under 4.5 Goals72.3%

Over 2.5 Goals68.1%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.4%

1-3 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.6%

4+ Goals46.6%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals31.9%

1-2 Goals28.9%

Over 4.5 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals13.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.6%

Away Team to Score77.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.7%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil19.3%

Away Clean Sheet13.4%

Away Win to Nil10.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.6%

Away Over 0.577.7%

Home Over 1.559.7%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Over 2.532.6%

Home 3+ Goals32.6%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.9%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Exactly 013.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.7%

Home to win by 3+13.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 28.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.3%

Home & Over 2.537.5%

Home & BTTS30.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.9%

Away & Over 2.521.0%

Home & No BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Home & Under 2.512.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.0%

Away & No BTTS10.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Away & Under 2.57.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.4%

HT Under 1.553.1%

HT Over 1.546.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Home Win39.0%

HT Draw35.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home31.3%

HT Both Teams Score29.2%

HT Away Win25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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