Italy · Serie B

Carrarese vs Modena

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Carrarese 25.1% Draw 43.9% Modena 31.0%

Over 2.5 - 13% BTTS - 23%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 28.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

28.9%

Exact-score model probability

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Carrarese win25.1%

Draw43.9%

Modena win31.0%

Over 1.5 goals36.7%

Over 2.5 goals13.0%

Over 3.5 goals3.8%

Both teams to score22.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.8%

HT Under 1.5

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)73.4%

Home or Draw (1X)67.6%

Home or Away (12)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Away54.9%

Draw No Bet - Home45.1%

Draw41.1%

Exactly 1 Goal35.9%

Away Win32.4%

Home Win26.6%

Both Halves Over 0.521.2%

Goal in Both Halves21.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.1%

Under 3.5 Goals96.2%

Under 2.5 Goals87.0%

Over 0.5 Goals71.1%

1-3 Goals67.4%

Under 1.5 Goals64.8%

1-2 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even54.2%

Total Goals Odd45.8%

Over 1.5 Goals35.2%

2-4 Goals34.4%

2-3 Goals31.5%

Under 0.5 Goals28.9%

Exactly 0 Goals28.9%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Over 2.5 Goals13.0%

3-4 Goals12.1%

Exactly 3 Goals9.2%

Over 3.5 Goals3.8%

4+ Goals3.8%

Over 4.5 Goals0.9%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)78.7%

Away Clean Sheet56.3%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.7%

Home Team to Score43.7%

Away Win to Nil27.4%

Home Win to Nil22.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)21.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 056.3%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.7%

Home Over 0.543.7%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Home Over 1.511.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Exactly 29.3%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.2%

Away to win by 123.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 27.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.2%

Home to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.575.9%

Draw & Under 2.540.0%

Away & No BTTS27.4%

Away & Under 2.525.7%

Home & No BTTS22.4%

Home & Under 2.521.4%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Over 2.510.2%

Away & Over 2.56.7%

Home & Over 2.55.2%

Away & BTTS5.0%

Home & BTTS4.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.8%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.589.1%

HT Draw61.7%

HT Under 0.557.2%

HT Over 0.542.8%

Equal Goals Each Half41.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw34.9%

2nd Half More Goals33.4%

1st Half More Goals25.6%

HT Away Win20.8%

HT Home Win17.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Home/Home13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT Over 1.510.9%

HT Both Teams Score5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions