Italy · Serie B

Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

Carrarese 65.6% Draw 27.0% Sampdoria 7.4%

Over 2.5 - 29% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 23.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.2%

Exact-score model probability

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Sampdoria

L W L D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Carrarese win65.6%

Draw27.0%

Sampdoria win7.4%

Over 1.5 goals57.1%

Over 2.5 goals29.0%

Over 3.5 goals12.2%

Both teams to score24.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Home88.7%

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Home Win66.7%

Both Halves Over 0.536.7%

Goal in Both Halves36.7%

Draw or Away (X2)33.3%

Exactly 1 Goal28.7%

Draw24.9%

Draw No Bet - Away11.3%

Away Win8.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.7%

Under 4.5 Goals95.8%

Under 3.5 Goals87.8%

Over 0.5 Goals84.7%

1-3 Goals72.6%

Under 2.5 Goals71.0%

Over 1.5 Goals56.0%

1-2 Goals55.7%

2-4 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even51.2%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 1.5 Goals44.0%

2-3 Goals43.8%

Over 2.5 Goals29.0%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

3-4 Goals24.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

Under 0.5 Goals15.3%

Exactly 0 Goals15.3%

Over 3.5 Goals12.2%

4+ Goals12.2%

Over 4.5 Goals4.2%

Over 5.5 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.4%

Home Clean Sheet69.8%

Home Win to Nil54.5%

Away Team to Score30.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.6%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Exactly 069.8%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Over 0.530.2%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 125.1%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Away Over 1.55.1%

Away Exactly 24.5%

Away Over 2.50.6%

Away 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.2%

Home to win by 130.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 221.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.4%

Home to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 17.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.2%

Away to win by 21.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.562.6%

Home & No BTTS54.5%

Home & Under 2.540.8%

Home & Over 2.525.8%

Draw & Under 2.523.6%

BTTS & Over 2.515.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.8%

Home & BTTS12.2%

Draw & BTTS9.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Over 2.52.0%

Away & BTTS1.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.579.2%

HT Over 0.557.0%

HT Draw47.8%

HT Home Win44.2%

HT Under 0.543.0%

HT/FT Home/Home41.5%

2nd Half More Goals39.1%

Equal Goals Each Half31.8%

1st Half More Goals29.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.8%

HT Over 1.520.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.0%

HT Away Win8.0%

HT Both Teams Score7.4%

HT/FT Away/Away4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions