Spain · Copa del Rey

Castellonense vs Almeria

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Castellonense 42.5% Draw 23.6% Almeria 33.9%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Castellonense

No recent results stored yet

Almeria

W D L L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Castellonense win42.5%

Draw23.6%

Almeria win33.9%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals72.0%

Over 3.5 goals51.3%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Both Halves Over 0.570.9%

Goal in Both Halves70.9%

Home or Draw (1X)64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)56.4%

Draw No Bet - Home55.4%

Draw No Bet - Away44.6%

Home Win43.5%

Away Win35.1%

Draw21.4%

Exactly 1 Goal8.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.6%

Under 5.5 Goals82.6%

Over 2.5 Goals72.0%

Under 4.5 Goals68.1%

2-4 Goals56.8%

Over 3.5 Goals51.2%

4+ Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals48.8%

1-3 Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.4%

Over 4.5 Goals31.9%

Under 2.5 Goals28.0%

1-2 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals16.7%

Under 1.5 Goals11.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.1%

Away Team to Score82.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Away Clean Sheet13.9%

Away Win to Nil11.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.1%

Away Over 0.582.8%

Home Over 1.558.6%

Away Over 1.552.5%

Home Over 2.531.6%

Home 3+ Goals31.6%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 127.4%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.9%

Away 3+ Goals25.9%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Home Exactly 013.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 213.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.2%

Home to win by 3+11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.5%

Away to win by 3+7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.0%

Home & Over 2.534.1%

Home & BTTS28.7%

Away & Over 2.527.1%

Away & BTTS23.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.7%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

Away & No BTTS11.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.7%

Draw & Under 2.510.7%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.57.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.4%

HT Over 1.550.0%

HT Under 1.550.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

HT Home Win35.6%

HT Draw34.2%

HT Both Teams Score32.2%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Away Win30.2%

HT/FT Home/Home27.1%

Equal Goals Each Half21.2%

HT/FT Away/Away21.2%

HT Under 0.518.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions