Italy · Serie B

Catanzaro vs Ascoli

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Catanzaro 54.6% Draw 21.4% Ascoli 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Catanzaro

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Ascoli

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Catanzaro win54.6%

Draw21.4%

Ascoli win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals75.0%

Over 3.5 goals55.0%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.5%

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Home or Draw (1X)75.0%

Both Halves Over 0.573.3%

Goal in Both Halves73.3%

Draw No Bet - Home69.0%

Home Win55.5%

Draw or Away (X2)44.4%

Draw No Bet - Away31.0%

Away Win24.9%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.1%

Under 5.5 Goals79.8%

Over 2.5 Goals74.9%

Under 4.5 Goals64.5%

Over 3.5 Goals55.0%

4+ Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.0%

1-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals35.2%

Under 2.5 Goals25.1%

1-2 Goals23.0%

Over 5.5 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.5%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.6%

Home Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil19.1%

Away Clean Sheet9.4%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 1.568.2%

Away Over 1.546.1%

Home Over 2.541.9%

Home 3+ Goals41.9%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 122.3%

Away Exactly 021.0%

Away Over 2.520.6%

Away 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 09.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.1%

Home & Over 2.545.3%

Home & BTTS36.4%

Away & Over 2.519.4%

Home & No BTTS19.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.7%

Away & BTTS17.5%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.9%

HT Over 1.552.6%

HT Under 1.547.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT/FT Home/Home36.2%

HT Both Teams Score33.0%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.2%

HT/FT Away/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions